Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Oqjetpes, Kokshetau
The Footlab AI model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kaspiy. The most likely score is 1-1. If Okzhetpes wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?
On Elo ratings, Okzhetpes has 1,597 points and Kaspiy 1,572.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Okzhetpes
3-4-3- 11T. Zhangylyshbay
- 19O. Omirtayev
- 90V. Sadovskiy
- 47V. Vasiljev
- 9D. Borodin
- 25Marcinho
- 91B. Abdumannonov
- 63I. Kuzmichev
- 3B. Lototskyi
- 5Léo Assunpção
- 22M. Lobantsev
Kaspiy
4-2-3-1- 93K. Sylla
- 15D. Epton
- 26P. Sedko
- 17V. Klimovich
- 11N. Ndombasi
- 47D. Usenov
- 30Bernardo Morgado
- 14A. Amaral
- 19M. Taykenov
- 21D. Aripov
- 24Dinmukhammed Zhomart
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Okzhetpes have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Kaspiy have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulytau(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Irtysh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ordabasy(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Altay(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zhetysu(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aktobe(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Okzhetpes wins, 1 draw, 2 Kaspiy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Kaspiy 1-3 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Kaspiy 0-1 Okzhetpes | 1. Division |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Okzhetpes 1-0 Kaspiy | 1. Division |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Okzhetpes 3-3 Kaspiy | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Kaspiy 2-1 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Kaspiy 2-1 Okzhetpes | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Okzhetpes score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kaspiy score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kaspiy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Okzhetpes sit 4th in Premier League (48 points from 28 matches) and Kaspiy sit 9th (33 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 48 |
| 9 | Kaspiy | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 39 | 33 |
A question about Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?
- The Footlab AI model makes Okzhetpes the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Kaspiy.
- Where and when is Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy played?
- Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Oqjetpes, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.