Match

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew

The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Cincinnati wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,914) and Columbus Crew (1,894).

41%23%36%
FC Cincinnati winDrawColumbus Crew win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Cincinnati

3-5-2
  1. 9K. Denkey
  2. 16T. Barlow
  1. 11S. Gidi
  2. 5O. Nwobodo
  3. 20P. Bucha
  4. 22G. Valenzuela
  5. 17K. Mboma Dem
  1. 12M. Robinson
  2. 15T. Hadebe
  3. 24K. Smith
  1. 18R. Celentano

Columbus Crew

4-4-2
  1. 10Brais Méndez
  2. 77Josef Martínez
  1. 8S. Rodríguez
  2. 16T. Habroune
  3. 21A. Zaroury
  4. 7D. Chambost
  1. 18M. Amundsen
  2. 25S. Zawadzki
  3. 23M. Farsi
  4. 31S. Moreira
  1. 28P. Schulte

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Columbus Crew have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Atlanta United FC(away)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Sep 12, 2026Charlotte(home)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)0-5Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Orlando City SC(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Inter Miami(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-1US Open Cup
Sep 12, 2026New York Red Bulls(home)0-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Cincinnati wins, 1 draw, 3 Columbus Crew wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Columbus Crew 2-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Nov 8, 2025FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Nov 2, 2025Columbus Crew 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Oct 27, 2025FC Cincinnati 1-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025FC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
May 17, 2025Columbus Crew 1-1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati1.92.1112/1512/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 9th in Major League Soccer (36 points from 27 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 13th (29 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Cincinnati27999586536
13Columbus Crew288515414629

A question about FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew played?
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew

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