Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew played?

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew

The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,852) and Columbus Crew (1,808).

FC Cincinnati win50 %

Draw23 %

Columbus Crew win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Seattle Sounders(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup

Columbus Crew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	CF Montreal(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Charlotte(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	2-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Cincinnati win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Columbus Crew win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Nov 8, 2025	FC Cincinnati 2-1 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
Nov 2, 2025	Columbus Crew 4-0 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Oct 27, 2025	FC Cincinnati 1-0 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
Jul 12, 2025	FC Cincinnati 2-4 Columbus Crew	Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025	Columbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati	2.6	1.9	1	14/15	12/15
Columbus Crew	1.5	1.6	2	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 6th in Major League Soccer (31 points from 21 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 14th (20 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
14	Columbus Crew	21	5	5	11	30	36	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?: The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew played?: FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.