Where and when is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City played?

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota

Minnesota United FC

St. Louis City

The Footlab model makes Minnesota United FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for St. Louis City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Minnesota United FC (1,790) and St. Louis City (1,806).

Minnesota United FC win41 %

Draw26 %

St. Louis City win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minnesota United FC have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; St. Louis City have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Minnesota United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	5-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Atlanta United FC(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Tigres UANL(away)	0-0	Leagues Cup

St. Louis City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Sporting Kansas City(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	San Jose Earthquakes(away)	3-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Real Salt Lake(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Colorado Rapids(home)	1-0	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Minnesota United FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St. Louis City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 27, 2025	St. Louis City 1-2 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
May 21, 2025	Minnesota United FC 3-2 St. Louis City	US Open Cup
May 18, 2025	Minnesota United FC 3-0 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024	Minnesota United FC 4-1 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024	St. Louis City 1-3 Minnesota United FC	Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023	Minnesota United FC 1-2 St. Louis City	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC on Jul 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Minnesota United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St. Louis City score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Minnesota United FC	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	9/15
St. Louis City	1.8	1.1	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Minnesota United FC sit 10th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and St. Louis City sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	St. Louis City	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
10	Minnesota United FC	21	7	7	7	27	29	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?: The Footlab model makes Minnesota United FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for St. Louis City.
Where and when is Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City played?: Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.