Match

Orlando City SC vs DC United: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SCDC United

The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs DC United?

Orlando City SC starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,653).

Orlando City SC win52 %
Draw23 %
DC United win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; DC United have 3, 9 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Chicago Fire(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)2-2Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026Leon(home)1-2Leagues Cup
DC United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026New England Revolution(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Orlando City SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 DC United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026DC United 3-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Sep 13, 2025DC United 1-1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025Orlando City SC 4-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jul 6, 2024Orlando City SC 5-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Apr 13, 2024DC United 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Apr 22, 2023Orlando City SC 1-3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: DC United vs Orlando City SC on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC2.11.9212/1511/15
DC United1.71.9212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 21 matches) and DC United sit 11th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Orlando City SC217311345124
11DC United21597283624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for DC United.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs DC United played?
Orlando City SC vs DC United is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Orlando City SC and DC United

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