New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Yankee Stadium, New York City
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for New York City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York City FC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Los Angeles FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | New England Revolution(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 2-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York City FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Los Angeles FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Los Angeles FC 1-1 New York City FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jan 28, 2023 | New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Los Angeles FC 1-1 New York City FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2021 | Los Angeles FC 1-2 New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 17, 2019 | New York City FC 2-2 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Los Angeles FC vs New York City FC on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New York City FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New York City FC sit 7th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 21 matches) and Los Angeles FC sit 3rd (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for New York City FC.
- Where and when is New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC played?
- New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC is played on November 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Yankee Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.