Where and when is Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps

The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,729).

Austin win20 %

Draw23 %

Vancouver Whitecaps win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vancouver Whitecaps have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Philadelphia Union(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Seattle Sounders(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026	Club America(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup

Vancouver Whitecaps
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	5-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Seattle Sounders(away)	2-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Tigres UANL(away)	1-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	1-3	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Austin win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 18, 2025	Austin 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps	Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025	Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1 Austin	Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024	Austin 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps	Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024	Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 Austin	Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023	Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin	Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023	Austin 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps on May 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Austin	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15
Vancouver Whitecaps	1.5	1.5	3	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st (40 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	20	12	4	4	45	18	40
14	Austin	21	5	6	10	26	40	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?: The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Austin.
Where and when is Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps played?: Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.