Match

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

New England RevolutionChicago Fire

The Footlab AI model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chicago Fire. The most likely score is 1-1. If New England Revolution wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate New England Revolution (1,871) and Chicago Fire (1,944).

41%25%34%
New England Revolution winDrawChicago Fire win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

New England Revolution

4-3-3
  1. 16D. Gazdag
  2. 99D. Turgeman
  3. 25P. Miller
  1. 10Carles Gil
  2. 14J. Yueill
  3. 21B. Raines
  1. 8M. Polster
  2. 2M. Fofana
  3. 23W. Sands
  4. 22E. Kohler
  1. 30M. Turner

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
  1. 7M. Haile-Selassie
  2. 18J. Gómez
  1. 11P. Zinckernagel
  2. 42T. D'Avilla
  3. 19J. Bamba
  4. 6A. Salétros
  1. 3J. Elliott
  2. 24J. Dean
  3. 2Leonardo Barroso
  4. 4M. Mbokazi
  1. 44J. Cohen

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chicago Fire have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New England Revolution
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Orlando City SC(home)4-2Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Chicago Fire(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026New York City FC(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 26, 2026Charlotte(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026New England Revolution(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Inter Miami(home)1-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 New England Revolution wins, 2 draws, 2 Chicago Fire wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Chicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Oct 18, 2025New England Revolution 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Sep 7, 2025Chicago Fire 3-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
May 20, 2025New England Revolution 1-3 Chicago FireUS Open Cup
May 5, 2024Chicago Fire 0-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024New England Revolution 1-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New England Revolution score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chicago Fire score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New England Revolution1.71.3210/1511/15
Chicago Fire1.81.4212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New England Revolution sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (46 points from 27 matches) and Chicago Fire sit 4th (45 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2New England Revolution271449453646
4Chicago Fire271368493945

A question about New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The Footlab AI model makes New England Revolution the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chicago Fire.
Where and when is New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire played?
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New England Revolution and Chicago Fire

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