FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Minsk, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FC Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate FC Minsk (1,651) and Torpedo Zhodino (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Minsk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Torpedo Zhodino have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neman(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lida(away) | 4-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Minsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Torpedo Zhodino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino 3-0 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Torpedo Zhodino 0-1 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | FC Minsk 1-5 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Torpedo Zhodino 2-0 FC Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 FC Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Torpedo Zhodino 2-2 FC Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Zhodino score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Minsk sit 7th in Premier League (28 points from 19 matches) and Torpedo Zhodino sit 9th (24 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FC Minsk.
- Where and when is FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino played?
- FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Minsk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.