FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R.: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski, Vitebsk
The Footlab model makes FC Isloch Minsk R. the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for FC Vitebsk. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R.?
FC Isloch Minsk R. starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Vitebsk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Isloch Minsk R. have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Minsk(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neman(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 4-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 1-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Vitebsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Isloch Minsk R. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-0 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-0 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | FC Vitebsk 3-3 FC Isloch Minsk R. | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-0 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | FC Vitebsk 0-1 FC Isloch Minsk R. | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Isloch Minsk R. 0-2 FC Vitebsk | Coppa |
Last archived meeting: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Vitebsk on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Vitebsk score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Isloch Minsk R. score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vitebsk | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Isloch Minsk R. | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Vitebsk sit 6th in Premier League (29 points from 19 matches) and FC Isloch Minsk R. sit 1st (37 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R.?
- The Footlab model makes FC Isloch Minsk R. the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for FC Vitebsk.
- Where and when is FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R. played?
- FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R. is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.