Match

FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning

FC MidtjyllandSt. Truiden

The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Midtjylland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?

FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 2,034).

52%25%23%
FC Midtjylland winDrawSt. Truiden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Midtjylland

3-4-1-2
  1. 90F. Etim
  2. 18S. Iheanacho
  1. 19P. Bravo
  2. 8P. Billing
  3. 98D. Martínez
  4. 21D. Castillo
  5. 29K. Wätjen
  1. 22M. Bech
  2. 5R. Kristensen
  3. 3M. Jensen
  1. 1E. Ólafsson

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 9S. Baždar
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 14R. Merlen
  4. 71R. Araki
  5. 38K. Matsuzawa
  1. 60R. Vanwesemael
  2. 3T. Hata
  3. 5S. Taniguchi
  4. 26V. Musliu
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Midtjylland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-1Superliga
Sep 19, 2026Odense(away)1-1Superliga
Sep 14, 2026Brondby(home)4-1Superliga
Sep 10, 2026Sundby(away)7-0DBU Pokalen
Sep 7, 2026FC Nordsjaelland(home)2-2Superliga
St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026KV Mechelen(away)3-4Jupiler Pro League
Sep 20, 2026KVC Westerlo(home)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026SK Beveren(away)0-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)4-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 2, 2026Union St. Gilloise(home)0-3Jupiler Pro League

How many goals should we expect?

FC Midtjylland score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland2.30.959/157/15
St. Truiden1.71.746/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for St. Truiden.
Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden played?
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden

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