FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert: prediction and stats
KNVB Beker1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Juliana-Sportpark, 's Gravenzande
The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC 's-Gravenzande. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert?
Gemert starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 's-Gravenzande have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gemert have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SteDoCo(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 27, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Groene Ster(away) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Groene Ster(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Poortugaal(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | GOES(away) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SteDoCo(home) | 6-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC 's-Gravenzande win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gemert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Gemert 3-2 FC 's-Gravenzande | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FC 's-Gravenzande 4-0 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Gemert vs FC 's-Gravenzande on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC 's-Gravenzande score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 's-Gravenzande | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gemert | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert?
- The Footlab model makes Gemert the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for FC 's-Gravenzande.
- Where and when is FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert played?
- FC 's-Gravenzande vs Gemert is played on September 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Juliana-Sportpark, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.