Match

Werder Bremen vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Weserstadion, Bremen

Werder BremenSV Elversberg

The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs SV Elversberg?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Werder Bremen (2,041) and SV Elversberg (2,098).

Werder Bremen win36 %
Draw25 %
SV Elversberg win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SV Elversberg have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Lorient(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Mallorca(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026Strasbourg(away)5-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen1.81.348/158/15
SV Elversberg2.51.2411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab model makes SV Elversberg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Werder Bremen vs SV Elversberg played?
Werder Bremen vs SV Elversberg is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Werder Bremen and SV Elversberg

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