Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Feyenoord starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,117 vs 1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 5-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Feyenoord win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Feyenoord 3-4 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Feyenoord 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Feyenoord 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 4th in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.