Match

Excelsior vs Willem II: prediction and stats

EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

ExcelsiorWillem II

The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Excelsior vs Willem II?

Excelsior starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,785).

55%22%23%
Excelsior winDrawWillem II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Excelsior vs Willem II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Excelsior

4-3-3
  1. 19D. Garden
  2. 30Á. Þorsteinsson
  3. 7A. Sliti
  1. 3R. Meissen
  2. 20L. Hartjes
  3. 8I. Yegoian
  1. 14J. Plug
  2. 4C. Widell
  3. 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
  4. 15S. Janssen
  1. 1S. van Gassel

Willem II

4-2-3-1
  1. 9D. Haen
  1. 7J. Slory
  2. 19Uriel van Aalst
  3. 6C. Twigt
  4. 52T. Vilhena
  5. 32V. van Crooij
  1. 24N. Tjoe-A-On
  2. 3F. Stam
  3. 5H. ter Avest
  4. 23M. Dekker
  1. 26M. Delanghe

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Willem II have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Excelsior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Groningen(home)1-5Eredivisie
Sep 19, 2026Ajax(away)2-2Eredivisie
Sep 13, 2026Utrecht(home)1-2Eredivisie
Sep 8, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)2-2Eredivisie
Sep 5, 2026Willem II(away)3-0Eredivisie
Willem II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Utrecht(away)1-3Eredivisie
Sep 19, 2026Fortuna Sittard(home)0-1Eredivisie
Sep 15, 2026Ajax(away)1-5Eredivisie
Sep 11, 2026AZ Alkmaar(away)1-1Eredivisie
Sep 5, 2026Excelsior(home)0-3Eredivisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Excelsior wins, 2 draws, 2 Willem II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Willem II 0-3 ExcelsiorEredivisie
Dec 30, 2022Willem II 3-1 ExcelsiorFriendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2021Willem II 2-0 ExcelsiorFriendlies Clubs
Apr 21, 2019Excelsior 1-1 Willem IIEredivisie
Sep 15, 2018Willem II 2-2 ExcelsiorEredivisie
Apr 6, 2018Excelsior 2-1 Willem IIEredivisie

Last archived meeting: Willem II vs Excelsior on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Excelsior2.51.6312/1513/15
Willem II1.22.1211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Excelsior sit 9th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Excelsior8323161411
18Willem II80267232

A question about Excelsior vs Willem II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Willem II?
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Willem II.
Where and when is Excelsior vs Willem II played?
Excelsior vs Willem II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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