Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heerenveen win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Heerenveen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 28, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Heerenveen 2-2 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 2-3 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Heerenveen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag on Mar 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 9th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Heerenveen vs ADO Den Haag is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.