Twente vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab model makes Twente the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Twente (2,071) and NEC Nijmegen (2,051).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Twente win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 NEC Nijmegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Twente 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 3-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 22, 2025 | Twente 3-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Twente 2-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 10, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Twente vs NEC Nijmegen on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 12th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab model makes Twente the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is Twente vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Twente vs NEC Nijmegen is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.