Twente vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 11D. Rots
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 16J. Drommel
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 34Kevin Kers
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Twente wins, 2 draws, 1 NEC Nijmegen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Twente 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 3-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 22, 2025 | Twente 3-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Twente 2-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 10, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Twente vs NEC Nijmegen on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (17 points from 8 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is Twente vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Twente vs NEC Nijmegen is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.