Match

Finland U17 vs Scotland U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Zahir Pajaziti, Podujevë (Besiana, Podujevo)

Finland U17Scotland U17

The Footlab model makes Finland U17 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Scotland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Finland U17 vs Scotland U17?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Finland U17 (1,519) and Scotland U17 (1,433).

Finland U17 win48 %
Draw23 %
Scotland U17 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland U17 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Scotland U17 have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Finland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away)3-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026Moldova U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Gibraltar U17(home)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 18, 2026Spain U17(home)0-7Friendlies
Feb 15, 2026Portugal U17(away)0-5Friendlies
Scotland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Northern Ireland U17(away)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 18, 2026Spain U17(away)0-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 15, 2026Turkey U17(home)2-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 21, 2026Poland U17(away)2-4Friendlies
Feb 18, 2026Norway U17(home)0-2Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Finland U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scotland U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Finland U171.62.537/1511/15
Scotland U171.71.746/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Finland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Scotland U17 sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Finland U173210627
2Scotland U173201536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Finland U17 vs Scotland U17?
The Footlab model makes Finland U17 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Scotland U17.
Where and when is Finland U17 vs Scotland U17 played?
Finland U17 vs Scotland U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Zahir Pajaziti, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Finland U17 and Scotland U17

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