Fiorentino vs La Fiorita: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, Fiorentino
The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Fiorentino. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentino vs La Fiorita?
La Fiorita starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,418 vs 1,138).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentino have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; La Fiorita have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | La Fiorita(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Murata(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | UNA Strassen(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | UNA Strassen(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Titano |
| May 16, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fiorentino win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 La Fiorita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Fiorentino 3-2 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | La Fiorita 1-0 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fiorentino 1-2 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Feb 11, 2026 | La Fiorita 0-1 Fiorentino | Campionato |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Fiorentino 0-3 La Fiorita | Campionato |
| Dec 8, 2024 | La Fiorita 2-1 Fiorentino | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Fiorentino vs La Fiorita on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentino score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Fiorita score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentino | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| La Fiorita | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentino sit 7th in Campionato (46 points from 30 matches) and La Fiorita sit 4th (57 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64 | 25 | 57 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentino vs La Fiorita?
- The Footlab model makes La Fiorita the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Fiorentino.
- Where and when is Fiorentino vs La Fiorita played?
- Fiorentino vs La Fiorita is played on September 11, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.