Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle
The Footlab model makes Folgore the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Juvenes / Dogana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore?
Folgore starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,259 vs 1,123).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juvenes / Dogana have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Folgore have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Murata(home) | 5-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 7-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Juvenes / Dogana win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Folgore win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana 2-2 Folgore | Campionato |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Folgore 1-1 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Folgore 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-1 Folgore | Campionato |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Folgore 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana | Campionato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Juvenes / Dogana 0-1 Folgore | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juvenes / Dogana score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juvenes / Dogana | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Folgore | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juvenes / Dogana sit 9th in Campionato (37 points from 30 matches) and Folgore sit 5th (57 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 57 |
| 9 | Juvenes / Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Juvenes / Dogana.
- Where and when is Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore played?
- Juvenes / Dogana vs Folgore is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.