Tre Fiori vs Domagnano: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, Fiorentino
The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Domagnano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tre Fiori vs Domagnano?
Tre Fiori starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,393 vs 1,179).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tre Fiori have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Domagnano have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Drita(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Larne(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| May 12, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| May 9, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| May 5, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 3-1 | Campionato |
| May 2, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tre Fiori win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Domagnano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Tre Fiori 2-0 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Domagnano 0-1 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Domagnano 1-0 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Tre Fiori 3-0 Domagnano | Campionato |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Domagnano 1-1 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Tre Fiori 2-2 Domagnano | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Tre Fiori vs Domagnano on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tre Fiori score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Domagnano score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Fiori | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Domagnano | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tre Fiori sit 1st in Campionato (73 points from 30 matches) and Domagnano sit 6th (49 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63 | 13 | 73 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 36 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tre Fiori vs Domagnano?
- The Footlab model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Domagnano.
- Where and when is Tre Fiori vs Domagnano played?
- Tre Fiori vs Domagnano is played on September 11, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.