San Marino Academy vs Faetano: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Faetano the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for San Marino Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Marino Academy vs Faetano?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate San Marino Academy (945) and Faetano (959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marino Academy have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Faetano have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cailungo(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Fiorentino(home) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Mar 21, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Marino Academy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Faetano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Faetano 2-4 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Nov 9, 2025 | San Marino Academy 1-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Feb 8, 2025 | San Marino Academy 0-1 Faetano | Campionato |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Faetano 3-2 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Faetano 3-1 San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Dec 2, 2023 | San Marino Academy 2-0 Faetano | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: Faetano vs San Marino Academy on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Marino Academy score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Faetano score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marino Academy | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Faetano | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marino Academy sit 14th in Campionato (16 points from 30 matches) and Faetano sit 13th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22 | 55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 60 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Marino Academy vs Faetano?
- The Footlab model makes Faetano the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for San Marino Academy.
- Where and when is San Marino Academy vs Faetano played?
- San Marino Academy vs Faetano is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.