Cosmos vs Pennarossa: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle
The Footlab model makes Cosmos the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Pennarossa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Cosmos starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,232 vs 959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cosmos have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pennarossa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Tre Penne(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| May 3, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Pennarossa(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 1-3 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(home) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cosmos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pennarossa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Cosmos 3-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cosmos 0-1 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Pennarossa 1-1 Cosmos | Campionato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Pennarossa 2-3 Cosmos | Campionato |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cosmos 4-0 Pennarossa | Campionato |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Cosmos 6-2 Pennarossa | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pennarossa score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cosmos | 0.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Pennarossa | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cosmos sit 8th in Campionato (42 points from 30 matches) and Pennarossa sit 11th (32 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 23 | 42 |
| 11 | Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 53 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
- The Footlab model makes Cosmos the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Pennarossa.
- Where and when is Cosmos vs Pennarossa played?
- Cosmos vs Pennarossa is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.