FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Kyustendil (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kyustendil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 0-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Kyustendil 2-0 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 6, 2019 | FK Minyor Pernik 4-0 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Kyustendil | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Kyustendil | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kyustendil.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026BanskovsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 19, 2026OborishtevsStrumska Slava
- Sep 19, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 19, 2026BelasitsavsKostinbrod
- Sep 19, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 19, 2026Natsional SofiavsSlavia Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSeptemvri Sofia II