Match

FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik

FK Minyor PernikKyustendil

The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and Kyustendil (1,450).

FK Minyor Pernik win56 %
Draw24 %
Kyustendil win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FK Minyor Pernik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bansko(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)3-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026Dunav Ruse(home)1-2Second League
Kyustendil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSKA Sofia III(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Kostinbrod(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-2Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FK Minyor Pernik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kyustendil win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2024FK Minyor Pernik 0-0 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Aug 26, 2023Kyustendil 2-0 FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest
Nov 6, 2019FK Minyor Pernik 4-0 KyustendilThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil on Mar 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FK Minyor Pernik1.31.547/159/15
Kyustendil0.71.648/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4FK Minyor Pernik4211637
15Kyustendil4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil?
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil played?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FK Minyor Pernik and Kyustendil

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