Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy played?

Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, Botevgrad

Balkan Botevgrad

Slivnishki geroy

The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Balkan Botevgrad (1,485) and Slivnishki geroy (1,421).

Balkan Botevgrad win50 %

Draw26 %

Slivnishki geroy win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balkan Botevgrad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Slivnishki geroy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	2-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Balkan Botevgrad win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 16, 2026	Slivnishki geroy 1-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2025	Balkan Botevgrad 1-2 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Apr 5, 2025	Slivnishki geroy 0-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Sep 14, 2024	Balkan Botevgrad 2-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
May 18, 2024	Balkan Botevgrad 5-1 Slivnishki geroy	Third League - Southwest
Nov 3, 2023	Slivnishki geroy 1-3 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs Balkan Botevgrad on Apr 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Slivnishki geroy	1.5	1.2	5	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Slivnishki geroy	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy?: The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Slivnishki geroy.
Where and when is Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy played?: Balkan Botevgrad vs Slivnishki geroy is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hristo Botev Izkustven Teren, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.