Match

CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

CSKA Sofia IIISeptemvri Sofia II

The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia III (1,490) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).

CSKA Sofia III win45 %
Draw28 %
Septemvri Sofia II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia III have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CSKA Sofia III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kyustendil(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Strumska Slava(home)0-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Oborishte(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Kostinbrod(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Septemvri Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Belasitsa(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026Botev Ihtiman(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)2-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia III win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2025CSKA Sofia III 2-1 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Apr 23, 2025CSKA Sofia III 0-0 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest
Sep 28, 2024Septemvri Sofia II 0-1 CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs CSKA Sofia III on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CSKA Sofia III1.10.776/154/15
Septemvri Sofia II1.80.887/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CSKA Sofia III sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Septemvri Sofia II4211547
12CSKA Sofia III4040224

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II.
Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CSKA Sofia III and Septemvri Sofia II

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