CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia III (1,490) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia III have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia III win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Septemvri Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 2-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 23, 2025 | CSKA Sofia III 0-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs CSKA Sofia III on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia III sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026BanskovsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 19, 2026OborishtevsStrumska Slava
- Sep 19, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 19, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKyustendil
- Sep 19, 2026BelasitsavsKostinbrod
- Sep 19, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 19, 2026Natsional SofiavsSlavia Sofia II