Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman?
Botev Ihtiman starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,469 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pirin Razlog win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pirin Razlog 2-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 5-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| May 14, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 1-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| May 11, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 4-2 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 1-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman played?
- Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026BanskovsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 19, 2026OborishtevsStrumska Slava
- Sep 19, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 19, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKyustendil
- Sep 19, 2026BelasitsavsKostinbrod
- Sep 19, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Natsional SofiavsSlavia Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSeptemvri Sofia II