Match

Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog

Pirin RazlogBotev Ihtiman

The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman?

Botev Ihtiman starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,469 vs 1,366).

Pirin Razlog win28 %
Draw24 %
Botev Ihtiman win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Botev Ihtiman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Kostinbrod(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Vitosha Bistritsa(home)3-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pirin Razlog win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Pirin Razlog 2-0 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest
Oct 11, 2025Botev Ihtiman 5-1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
May 14, 2025Pirin Razlog 1-1 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest
Oct 24, 2024Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
May 11, 2024Botev Ihtiman 4-2 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Oct 27, 2023Pirin Razlog 1-2 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15
Botev Ihtiman1.31.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Botev Ihtiman4202556
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman?
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman played?
Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pirin Razlog and Botev Ihtiman

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