Where and when is Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli played?

Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko

Bansko

Septemvri Simitli

The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).

Bansko win47 %

Draw27 %

Septemvri Simitli win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bansko
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Pirin Razlog(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Natsional Sofia(away)	2-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(home)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bansko win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Septemvri Simitli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Bansko 2-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Sep 17, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Mar 12, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Aug 17, 2024	Bansko 3-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Mar 23, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Bansko	Third League - Southwest
Sep 6, 2023	Bansko 1-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bansko	1.7	1.1	6	7/15	10/15
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bansko	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli?: The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Septemvri Simitli.
Where and when is Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli played?: Bansko vs Septemvri Simitli is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.