Oborishte vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Strumska Slava (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oborishte win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Strumska Slava 1-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Oborishte 0-1 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| May 19, 2018 | Strumska Slava 3-1 Oborishte | Second League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Oborishte 1-1 Strumska Slava | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Oborishte on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Strumska Slava played?
- Oborishte vs Strumska Slava is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026BanskovsSeptemvri Simitli
- Sep 19, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsSlivnishki geroy
- Sep 19, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKyustendil
- Sep 19, 2026BelasitsavsKostinbrod
- Sep 19, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsLevski Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBotev Ihtiman
- Sep 19, 2026Natsional SofiavsSlavia Sofia II
- Sep 19, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsSeptemvri Sofia II