Match

Natsional Sofia vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Natsional SofiaSlavia Sofia II

The Footlab model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Natsional Sofia vs Slavia Sofia II?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Natsional Sofia (1,463) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).

Natsional Sofia win47 %
Draw26 %
Slavia Sofia II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Natsional Sofia have 3 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Natsional Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Strumska Slava(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Oborishte(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Bansko(home)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 18, 2024Rilski Sportist(home)3-4Cup
Slavia Sofia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kostinbrod(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(away)0-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)3-0Third League - Southwest

How many goals should we expect?

Natsional Sofia score 3.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 9; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Natsional Sofia3.42.025/98/9
Slavia Sofia II1.61.155/156/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Natsional Sofia sit 17th in Third League - Southwest (1 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Slavia Sofia II4103243
17Natsional Sofia4013391

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Natsional Sofia vs Slavia Sofia II?
The Footlab model makes Natsional Sofia the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Slavia Sofia II.
Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs Slavia Sofia II played?
Natsional Sofia vs Slavia Sofia II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Natsional Sofia and Slavia Sofia II

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