Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik?
FK Minyor Pernik starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,516 vs 1,394).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 5-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Levski Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-2 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Levski Sofia II 0-2 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: FK Minyor Pernik vs Levski Sofia II on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia II sit 13th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FK Minyor Pernik.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik played?
- Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 10, 2026Botev IhtimanvsOborishte
- Oct 10, 2026KyustendilvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBelasitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 10, 2026KostinbrodvsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsPirin Razlog
- Oct 10, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBansko