York vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win York vs Fleetwood Town?
York starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,965).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for York vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 8A. Hunt
- 12H. Boyes
- 28O. Banks
- 16A. Read
- 23J. Felix
- 21H. Boateng
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 4H. Neal
- 6R. Bennett
- 10M. Helm
- 14L. McCann
- 5F. Potter
- 26S. Rooney
- 16Conor Haughey
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-5 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 York win, 2 draws, 3 Fleetwood Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2014 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 York | League Two |
| May 12, 2014 | York 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 York | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2013 | York 0-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 York | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2012 | York 0-2 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs York on May 16, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
York score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
York sit 4th in League Two (23 points from 15 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 17th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | York | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about York vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for York vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is York vs Fleetwood Town played?
- York vs Fleetwood Town is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.