Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)St. Patrick Football Complex, Ħaż-Żabbar
The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Zabbar St. Patrick. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,439).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabbar St. Patrick have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Floriana have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Birzebbuga(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Drita(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Zabbar St. Patrick win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Floriana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Floriana 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | FA Trophy |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Floriana 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Floriana 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Floriana score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Floriana | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabbar St. Patrick sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Floriana sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Floriana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
- The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Zabbar St. Patrick.
- Where and when is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana played?
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at St. Patrick Football Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.