Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)St. Patrick Football Complex, Ħaż-Żabbar
The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Zabbar St. Patrick. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zabbar St. Patrick
4-3-3- 7N. Lancioni
- 29Vinícius Kanu
- 89M. Fontanella
- 10Joao Mafra
- 71T. Melillo
- 8C. M'Mombwa
- 21S. Jovančić
- 22Z. Leonardi
- 2K. Bručić
- 17J. Pisani
- 30P. Mohorovic
Floriana
4-3-3- 22T. Gudelj
- 9K. Dervisagic
- 90S. Odey
- 16Chapi
- 10F. Varela
- 12D. Vella
- 21C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 17O. Spiteri
- 3M. Beerman
- 6A. Drina
- 23G. Cioletti
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabbar St. Patrick have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Floriana have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Zabbar St. Patrick wins, 1 draw, 4 Floriana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Floriana 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | FA Trophy |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Floriana 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Floriana 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Floriana score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Floriana | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabbar St. Patrick sit 10th in Premier League (8 points from 8 matches) and Floriana sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Floriana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Zabbar St. Patrick.
- Where and when is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana played?
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at St. Patrick Football Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.