Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Zabbar St. Patrick. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floriana wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,432).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Floriana
4-3-3- 22T. Gudelj
- 9K. Dervisagic
- 90S. Odey
- 16Chapi
- 10F. Varela
- 12D. Vella
- 21C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 17O. Spiteri
- 3M. Beerman
- 6A. Drina
- 23G. Cioletti
Zabbar St. Patrick
4-3-3- 7N. Lancioni
- 29Vinícius Kanu
- 89M. Fontanella
- 10Joao Mafra
- 71T. Melillo
- 8C. M'Mombwa
- 21S. Jovančić
- 22Z. Leonardi
- 2K. Bručić
- 17J. Pisani
- 30P. Mohorovic
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floriana have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Zabbar St. Patrick have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Super Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Birkirkara(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Floriana wins, 1 draw, 0 Zabbar St. Patrick wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Floriana 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | FA Trophy |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Floriana 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Floriana 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Floriana score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floriana sit 3rd in Premier League (14 points from 7 matches) and Zabbar St. Patrick sit 10th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Floriana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Zabbar St. Patrick.
- Where and when is Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick played?
- Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick is played on October 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.