Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń played?

Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota Świnoujście

Elana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Elana Toruń (1,694).

Flota Świnoujście win46 %

Draw24 %

Elana Toruń win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Elana Toruń win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Flota Świnoujście 2-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 6, 2025	Elana Toruń 3-2 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 1, 2025	Elana Toruń 0-2 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 10, 2024	Flota Świnoujście 3-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
May 4, 2024	Elana Toruń 0-0 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 7, 2023	Flota Świnoujście 3-0 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń?: The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń played?: Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.