Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Flota Świnoujście win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 3-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 1-2 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 25, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 3-1 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Flota Świnoujście 2-5 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Flota Świnoujście.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Elana ToruńvsVictoria Września
- Oct 31, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsLuzino
- Oct 31, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsStargard Szczeciński
- Oct 31, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsKotwica Kórnik
- Oct 31, 2026Gedania GdanskvsKalisz
- Oct 31, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Oct 31, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsBałtyk Koszalin
- Oct 31, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsLipno Stęszew