Match

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota

Fortaleza FCDeportivo Cali

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Fortaleza FC (1,677) and Deportivo Cali (1,739).

Fortaleza FC win31 %
Draw31 %
Deportivo Cali win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortaleza FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-2Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Cucuta(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Llaneros(away)1-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Alianza Valledupar(away)1-1Primera A
Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortaleza FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Cali win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
Jul 25, 2025Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A
Feb 9, 2025Fortaleza FC 1-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Sep 25, 2024Deportivo Cali 3-2 Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia
Sep 18, 2024Fortaleza FC 1-0 Deportivo CaliCopa Colombia
Jul 30, 2024Fortaleza FC 2-1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortaleza FC1.21.149/156/15
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Deportivo Cali4211637
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
13Fortaleza FC5122565
15Fortaleza FC19577222722
15Fortaleza FC19577222722

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali played?
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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