Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Fortaleza FC (1,677) and Deportivo Cali (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortaleza FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza FC | Primera A |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Fortaleza FC 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 3-2 Fortaleza FC | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fortaleza FC 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Fortaleza FC 2-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FC | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 13 | Fortaleza FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fortaleza FC.
- Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali played?
- Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026ChicovsBucaramanga
- Oct 25, 2026JaguaresvsLlaneros
- Oct 25, 2026JuniorvsÁguilas Doradas
- Oct 25, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Pereira
- Oct 25, 2026Atletico NacionalvsIndependiente Medellin
- Oct 25, 2026America de CalivsCucuta
- Oct 25, 2026Santa FevsMillonarios
- Oct 25, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsInternacional de Bogota