Match

Chico vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

ChicoBucaramanga

The Footlab AI model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bucaramanga wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Bucaramanga?

Bucaramanga starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,604).

26%27%47%
Chico winDrawBucaramanga win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chico vs Bucaramanga

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chico

4-4-2
  1. 21J. Pimentel
  2. 22Alejandro Maya
  1. 6J. Díaz
  2. 17E. Sarria
  3. 16S. Mera
  4. 8S. Salazar
  1. 4J. Mena
  2. 5J. Alomía
  3. 14C. Blanco
  4. 24C. Mosquera
  1. 1D. Agudelo

Bucaramanga

5-3-2
  1. 27L. Pons
  2. 10F. Sambueza
  1. 17E. Batalla
  2. 21F. Charrupí
  3. 22F. Castro
  1. 24J. Ortiz
  2. 23C. Romaña
  3. 6N. Castrillón
  4. 8F. Hinestroza
  5. 19A. Gutiérrez
  1. 25C. Fiermarín

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bucaramanga have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-4Primera A
Oct 11, 2026Cucuta(home)0-1Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)0-0Primera A
Sep 25, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)3-0Primera A
Sep 19, 2026Millonarios(away)0-3Primera A
Bucaramanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Águilas Doradas(home)1-1Primera A
Oct 4, 2026Junior(home)3-1Primera A
Sep 26, 2026Once Caldas(away)3-1Primera A
Sep 20, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-0Primera A
Sep 18, 2026Independiente Medellin(home)2-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chico wins, 2 draws, 2 Bucaramanga wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Bucaramanga 5-0 ChicoPrimera A
Jul 12, 2025Bucaramanga 1-1 ChicoPrimera A
Jun 10, 2025Bucaramanga 3-2 ChicoCopa Colombia
Jan 24, 2025Chico 1-0 BucaramangaPrimera A
Nov 6, 2024Chico 1-1 BucaramangaPrimera A
Apr 20, 2024Bucaramanga 2-3 ChicoPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Chico on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chico0.91.745/158/15
Bucaramanga1.61.2311/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 14th in Primera A (12 points from 12 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 3rd (24 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bucaramanga12660211124
14Chico12336101912

A question about Chico vs Bucaramanga?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Bucaramanga?
The Footlab AI model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chico.
Where and when is Chico vs Bucaramanga played?
Chico vs Bucaramanga is played on October 23, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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