Santa Fe vs Millonarios: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Millonarios. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Millonarios?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Santa Fe (1,854) and Millonarios (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chico(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Millonarios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Millonarios 0-0 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Millonarios 1-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Millonarios 2-0 Santa Fe | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Santa Fe on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 29 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Millonarios.
- Where and when is Santa Fe vs Millonarios played?
- Santa Fe vs Millonarios is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026ChicovsBucaramanga
- Oct 25, 2026JaguaresvsLlaneros
- Oct 25, 2026JuniorvsÁguilas Doradas
- Oct 25, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Pereira
- Oct 25, 2026Atletico NacionalvsIndependiente Medellin
- Oct 25, 2026America de CalivsCucuta
- Oct 25, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsInternacional de Bogota
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes TolimavsDeportivo Pasto