Match

America de Cali vs Cucuta: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali

America de CaliCucuta

The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win America de Cali vs Cucuta?

America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,637).

America de Cali win61 %
Draw25 %
Cucuta win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

America de Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 10, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Chico(home)7-0Primera A
Jul 30, 2026Real Cartagena(away)1-1Copa Colombia
Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 America de Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cucuta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Cucuta 2-0 America de CaliPrimera A
Nov 13, 2020Cucuta 0-3 America de CaliPrimera A
Oct 26, 2019Cucuta 3-1 America de CaliPrimera A
May 3, 2019America de Cali 2-0 CucutaPrimera A
Oct 17, 2016America de Cali 1-1 CucutaPrimera B
May 30, 2016Cucuta 2-0 America de CaliPrimera B

Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs America de Cali on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
America de Cali1.30.885/154/15
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1America de Cali541011013
4America de Cali191036251533
6America de Cali211047262034
14Cucuta5122495
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Cucuta?
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta.
Where and when is America de Cali vs Cucuta played?
America de Cali vs Cucuta is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: America de Cali and Cucuta

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