America de Cali vs Cucuta: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America de Cali vs Cucuta?
America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 America de Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cucuta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Cucuta 2-0 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Cucuta 0-3 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Cucuta 3-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| May 3, 2019 | America de Cali 2-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Oct 17, 2016 | America de Cali 1-1 Cucuta | Primera B |
| May 30, 2016 | Cucuta 2-0 America de Cali | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs America de Cali on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Cucuta?
- The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta.
- Where and when is America de Cali vs Cucuta played?
- America de Cali vs Cucuta is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 25, 2026JaguaresvsLlaneros
- Oct 25, 2026JuniorvsÁguilas Doradas
- Oct 25, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Pereira
- Oct 25, 2026Atletico NacionalvsIndependiente Medellin
- Oct 25, 2026Santa FevsMillonarios
- Oct 25, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsInternacional de Bogota
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes TolimavsDeportivo Pasto