Where and when is Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira played?

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once Caldas

Deportivo Pereira

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Once Caldas starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,614).

Once Caldas win73 %

Draw19 %

Deportivo Pereira win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Pereira have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

Deportivo Pereira
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Llaneros(away)	0-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Jaguares(home)	1-0	Copa Colombia
May 21, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Once Caldas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Pereira win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 10, 2026	Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Sep 6, 2025	Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
Aug 3, 2025	Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Mar 22, 2025	Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Feb 20, 2025	Once Caldas 3-1 Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
Sep 3, 2024	Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Once Caldas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15
Deportivo Pereira	0.6	0.9	6	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pereira sit 20th (10 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
10	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
16	Deportivo Pereira	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	10
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Deportivo Pereira.
Where and when is Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira played?: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.