Junior vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Junior vs Águilas Doradas?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Junior (1,787) and Águilas Doradas (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Águilas Doradas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Águilas Doradas 0-3 Junior | Primera A |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Águilas Doradas 2-3 Junior | Primera A |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Junior 2-2 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Junior 3-4 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Águilas Doradas 0-2 Junior | Primera A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Águilas Doradas 1-1 Junior | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Junior on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Águilas Doradas | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 6 | Águilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Junior vs Águilas Doradas?
- The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Águilas Doradas.
- Where and when is Junior vs Águilas Doradas played?
- Junior vs Águilas Doradas is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026ChicovsBucaramanga
- Oct 25, 2026JaguaresvsLlaneros
- Oct 25, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Pereira
- Oct 25, 2026Atletico NacionalvsIndependiente Medellin
- Oct 25, 2026America de CalivsCucuta
- Oct 25, 2026Santa FevsMillonarios
- Oct 25, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsInternacional de Bogota
- Oct 25, 2026Deportes TolimavsDeportivo Pasto