Match

Junior vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 16Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

JuniorÁguilas Doradas

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Águilas Doradas?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Junior (1,787) and Águilas Doradas (1,732).

Junior win47 %
Draw27 %
Águilas Doradas win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Águilas Doradas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Millonarios(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Llaneros(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-1Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Santa Fe(home)2-1Primera A
May 26, 2026Real Soacha(away)2-2Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Junior win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Águilas Doradas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Águilas Doradas 0-3 JuniorPrimera A
Jul 19, 2025Águilas Doradas 2-3 JuniorPrimera A
Feb 2, 2025Junior 2-2 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Sep 23, 2024Junior 3-4 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Mar 8, 2024Águilas Doradas 0-2 JuniorPrimera A
Nov 29, 2023Águilas Doradas 1-1 JuniorPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Junior on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Junior1.51.539/158/15
Águilas Doradas1.41.4211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
6Águilas Doradas4220648
12Águilas Doradas19757202526
12Águilas Doradas19757202526
18Junior3012241

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Águilas Doradas?
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Águilas Doradas.
Where and when is Junior vs Águilas Doradas played?
Junior vs Águilas Doradas is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Junior and Águilas Doradas

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