France U17 vs Luxembourg U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plaine des Sports, Saint-Paul-lès-Dax
The Footlab model makes France U17 the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Luxembourg U17. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win France U17 vs Luxembourg U17?
France U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,781 Elo points against 1,441, a 340-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France U17 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Luxembourg U17 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Montenegro U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | Denmark U17(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Germany U17(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Hungary U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Liechtenstein U17(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Armenia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 France U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Luxembourg U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | France U17 4-0 Luxembourg U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Luxembourg U17 0-2 France U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: France U17 vs Luxembourg U17 on Oct 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
France U17 score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Luxembourg U17 score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France U17 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Luxembourg U17 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Luxembourg U17 sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Luxembourg U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for France U17 vs Luxembourg U17?
- The Footlab model makes France U17 the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Luxembourg U17.
- Where and when is France U17 vs Luxembourg U17 played?
- France U17 vs Luxembourg U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plaine des Sports, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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