Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC?
Ehime FC starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ehime FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Ehime FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Ehime FC 1-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Ehime FC 2-2 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ehime FC | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC on Sep 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Ehime FC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Ehime FC is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 14, 2026KanazawavsRoasso Kumamoto
- Nov 14, 2026Tochigi SCvsNara Club
- Nov 14, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsRenofa Yamaguchi
- Nov 14, 2026KitakyushuvsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Nov 14, 2026FC RyukyuvsKochi United
- Nov 14, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsGainare Tottori
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