Fukushima United vs Vegalta Sendai: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Vegalta Sendai?
Vegalta Sendai starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vegalta Sendai have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(away) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oita Trinita(home) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vegalta Sendai score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Vegalta Sendai | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Vegalta Sendai?
- The Footlab model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs Vegalta Sendai played?
- Fukushima United vs Vegalta Sendai is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026SagamiharavsJubilo Iwata
- Sep 2, 2026Vanraure HachinohevsTochigi City
- Sep 2, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsFujieda MYFC
- Sep 2, 2026Ehime FCvsBlaublitz Akita
- Sep 2, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsAlbirex Niigata
- Sep 2, 2026KitakyushuvsIwaki
- Sep 2, 2026FC RyukyuvsYokohama FC
- Sep 2, 2026Roasso KumamotovsOita Trinita