Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu
The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Biwako Shiga (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Okinawa SV(home) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 1-3 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kitakyushu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Biwako Shiga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Biwako Shiga 1-0 Kitakyushu | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kitakyushu 1-2 Biwako Shiga | J2/J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitakyushu | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga?
- The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kitakyushu.
- Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga played?
- Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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