Match

Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuBiwako Shiga

The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Biwako Shiga (1,711).

Kitakyushu win32 %
Draw25 %
Biwako Shiga win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Okinawa SV(home)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)0-0J3 League
Jul 18, 2026Yokohama FC(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Biwako Shiga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Japan Soccer College(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 9, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-3J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Tochigi City(away)1-3J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kitakyushu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Biwako Shiga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Biwako Shiga 1-0 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Feb 28, 2026Kitakyushu 1-2 Biwako ShigaJ2/J3 League

Last archived meeting: Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.11.9210/1510/15
Biwako Shiga1.22.038/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Biwako Shiga3201676
15Kitakyushu2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga?
The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga played?
Kitakyushu vs Biwako Shiga is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kitakyushu and Biwako Shiga

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