Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,715) and Kagoshima United (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | Emperor Cup |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Kagoshima United 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 Kagoshima United | J2 League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Kagoshima United 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Kagoshima United 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
- Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United played?
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.