Match

Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Netherdale Football Ground, Galashiels

Gala Fairydean RoversHearts U21

The Footlab model makes Gala Fairydean Rovers the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Hearts U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Gala Fairydean Rovers (1,455) and Hearts U21 (1,400).

Gala Fairydean Rovers win60 %
Draw19 %
Hearts U21 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gala Fairydean Rovers have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hearts U21 have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gala Fairydean Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)3-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Rangers U21(home)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Linlithgow Rose(away)0-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Bo'ness United(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026Broxburn Athletic(away)0-1Football League - Lowland League
Hearts U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Berwick Rangers(away)4-3Challenge Cup
Apr 18, 2026Cowdenbeath(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Apr 10, 2026Albion Rovers(home)3-0Football League - Lowland League
Apr 3, 2026East Stirlingshire(away)2-4Football League - Lowland League
Mar 20, 2026Clydebank(home)0-8Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gala Fairydean Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hearts U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Gala Fairydean Rovers 3-1 Hearts U21Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2025Hearts U21 0-2 Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League
Feb 28, 2025Hearts U21 0-4 Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League
Aug 3, 2024Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-5 Hearts U21Football League - Lowland League
Dec 22, 2023Hearts U21 3-1 Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2023Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-1 Hearts U21Football League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gala Fairydean Rovers1.91.566/1510/15
Hearts U211.12.417/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21?
The Footlab model makes Gala Fairydean Rovers the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Hearts U21.
Where and when is Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 played?
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Netherdale Football Ground, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gala Fairydean Rovers and Hearts U21

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