Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Netherdale Football Ground, Galashiels
The Footlab model makes Gala Fairydean Rovers the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Hearts U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Gala Fairydean Rovers (1,455) and Hearts U21 (1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gala Fairydean Rovers have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hearts U21 have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Clydebank(home) | 0-8 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gala Fairydean Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hearts U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 3-1 Hearts U21 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Hearts U21 0-2 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Hearts U21 0-4 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-5 Hearts U21 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Hearts U21 3-1 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-1 Hearts U21 | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Hearts U21 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21?
- The Footlab model makes Gala Fairydean Rovers the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Hearts U21.
- Where and when is Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 played?
- Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hearts U21 is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Netherdale Football Ground, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026MontrosevsDundee II
- Sep 8, 2026CowdenbeathvsKilmarnock II
- Sep 8, 2026Airdrie UnitedvsSt. Mirren U21
- Sep 8, 2026Stirling AlbionvsRangers U21
- Sep 8, 2026Banks O' DeevsForfar Athletic
- Sep 8, 2026Annan AthleticvsMotherwell U21
- Sep 8, 2026Berwick RangersvsHibernian U21
- Sep 8, 2026Ross CountyvsAberdeen U21