Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 played?

Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty

Kelty Hearts

Hearts U21

The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Hearts U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?

Kelty Hearts starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,533 vs 1,400).

Kelty Hearts win67 %

Draw18 %

Hearts U21 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Hearts U21 have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kelty Hearts
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dumbarton(home)	3-1	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Elgin City(away)	1-4	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Motherwell U21(home)	4-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Stirling Albion(home)	3-2	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Forfar Athletic(away)	0-1	League Two

Hearts U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Berwick Rangers(away)	4-3	Challenge Cup
Apr 18, 2026	Cowdenbeath(away)	0-3	Football League - Lowland League
Apr 10, 2026	Albion Rovers(home)	3-0	Football League - Lowland League
Apr 3, 2026	East Stirlingshire(away)	2-4	Football League - Lowland League
Mar 20, 2026	Clydebank(home)	0-8	Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kelty Hearts win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hearts U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 11, 2025	Kelty Hearts 0-1 Hearts U21	Challenge Cup
Jul 9, 2024	Kelty Hearts 2-5 Hearts U21	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 on Nov 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kelty Hearts score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kelty Hearts	1.2	2.1	1	7/15	9/15
Hearts U21	1.1	2.4	1	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21?: The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Hearts U21.
Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 played?: Kelty Hearts vs Hearts U21 is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.