Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga played?

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,907).

Gamba Osaka win60 %

Draw22 %

Kyoto Sanga win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Apr 4, 2026	Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Jun 28, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Apr 29, 2025	Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Sep 22, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Apr 3, 2024	Gamba Osaka 0-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Gamba Osaka on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Kyoto Sanga	1.1	2.2	2	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga played?: Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.