Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba played?

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,815).

Cerezo Osaka win62 %

Draw21 %

JEF United Chiba win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Tochigi City(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Cerezo Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2016	JEF United Chiba 3-0 Cerezo Osaka	J2 League
Apr 3, 2016	Cerezo Osaka 2-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Aug 8, 2015	Cerezo Osaka 1-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Apr 1, 2015	JEF United Chiba 4-4 Cerezo Osaka	J2 League
Oct 15, 2014	Cerezo Osaka 0-1 JEF United Chiba	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Cerezo Osaka on Nov 3, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	9/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 6th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba played?: Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.