Match

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 1,884).

65%21%14%
FC Tokyo winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 9Marcelo Ryan
  2. 26M. Nagakura
  1. 33K. Tawaratsumida
  2. 8T. Ko
  3. 7S. Anzai
  4. 20S. Nagano
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 8C. Kato
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 22K. Taniguchi
  3. 39H. Yamamoto
  4. 20Y. Funabashi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 25T. Mase
  3. 15Y. Kimoto
  4. 3K. Osaki
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Urawa(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)4-0Emperor Cup
Sep 29, 2026Ehime FC(away)2-0J-League Cup
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Urawa(home)0-1J1 League
Oct 14, 2026FC Tokyo(home)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)1-2J1 League
Sep 29, 2026Fukushima United(away)7-0J-League Cup
Sep 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FC Tokyo wins, 1 draw, 2 Mito Hollyhock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-0 FC TokyoJ-League Cup
Apr 24, 2026FC Tokyo 5-2 Mito HollyhockJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-1 FC TokyoJ1 League
Oct 12, 2024FC Tokyo 2-3 Mito HollyhockFriendlies Clubs
Nov 11, 2015FC Tokyo 2-0 Mito HollyhockEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo on Oct 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.20.7103/157/15
Mito Hollyhock1.31.137/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 3rd in J1 League (23 points from 10 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3FC Tokyo1072121823
14Mito Hollyhock1023512149

A question about FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock played?
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is played on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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