Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock played?

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?

FC Tokyo starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,001 vs 1,829).

FC Tokyo win55 %

Draw24 %

Mito Hollyhock win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 FC Tokyo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	FC Tokyo 5-2 Mito Hollyhock	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Mito Hollyhock 1-1 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Oct 12, 2024	FC Tokyo 2-3 Mito Hollyhock	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 11, 2015	FC Tokyo 2-0 Mito Hollyhock	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.7	1.5	3	9/15	10/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.1	1.8	1	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock played?: FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.